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Re: SV-3 review: HMD trends

From: "Brian Empey, P.Eng." <>
Date: Fri, 01 Nov 2002 13:26:28 -0800

Carol, there's no doubt that low-cost displays will be the norm within a
decade.
If Virtual Vision can cling to life their technology could yield the sub
$100- (in high volume) SVGA full-color headset within 3 years.
Micro Emmissive Displays and others are also commerciallizing OLED
micro-displays.
As the technology is made available, companies like Micro Optical will
no doubt take advantage of the increased performance and decreased power
of OLEDs to bring us amazing technology at low prices.
And who knows what kind of miniaturization MicroVision will be able to
perform by the time that the Nomad IV comes out (the second generation
color display)?
With the advantages of MEMs and further electronics advances they may
have a $100- color display smaller than your thumb within 5 years ....

Its hard to predict what technology we'll be using 5 years from now, but
we can be sure that HMDs will be:
- smaller
- lighter
- lower power
- higher resolution
- more flexible in operating modes
- rugged
- etc.
But the big factor will be lower-priced, which will finally enable the
mainstream market for wearables.
At least, that's my thoughts.

Any other insights into the future of HMDs?

Brian

Techwatcher wrote:
> 
> I realize we're nowhere near it yet, but my ideal HMD would toggle
> through a few modes: opaque full-color (for stationary viewing of Web
> sites and other reference/graphical information); AI-mediated
> augmenting overlay (monochrome, possibly shades of green); AI-mediated
> NEVER (the program monitors the environment and NEVER displays anything
> in an environment in which large objects -- such as cars -- are moving
> relative to viewer); AI-mediated on-demand (opaque or overlay), which
> would be my normal mode; and non-AI on-demand (the GUI or prompt
> environment, in choice of overlay or opaque). Also, of course, there
> would be an "off" switch.
> 
> Before you laugh or even jeer, just remember that the first PC printers
> had no fonts or modes, no memory, barely allowed small as well as
> capital letters, came without drivers, and cost over $1000. Within 10
> years, we had the $400 LASER printer, albeit still b&w. (-8
> 
> Cheers --
> Carol

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