Return to the archive index

News and Displays - Long

From: "Tony Havelka" <>
Date: Thu, 11 Mar 1999 12:02:03 -0600

--News--

I've been kind of quiet for a while because we just finished a deal with a
new company called TekGear.  TekGear has purchased the manufacturing and
marketing rights for the M1 and will be taking an aggressive position in
supplying products for this industry.  Pricing will be attractive and new
products are on the horizon. More news to follow, I'm sure.

--Displays--

Re: Ken's question:

> Does anyone know when the next display that is better than
> the M1 will be out?

*Note* This is strictly my opinion

There are a few factors driving this:

1. Component Manufacturer Support

While interest for wearable computing products is growing at a very nice
rate, the market for commercial devices is still quite limited.  Micro
display companies are well aware of this fact and are focusing their efforts
accordingly.  One micro display company had estimated that 98% of their
business would be near eye (i.e. HMD) and 2% would be projection.  6 months
ago they revised their estimate to 2% near eye and 98% projection.  This is
a radical and prophetic change.

More and more, micro display companies are changing the way they approach
their markets - as near eye is taking a back seat to the projection market.
What does this really mean?  While the displays are relatively the same, the
support subsystems, such as optics, electronics, and illumination methods,
are all optimized for a projection system.  Support for HMD devices is
limited and costly.  This means more development costs, higher panel prices
and in turn a higher HMD cost.  In an effort to bring more affordable
products to market - higher panel prices do not fit into the
price:performance ratio currently dictated by the wearable computing market.

2. Lack of applications

There are many uses for wearable computers and head mounted displays but
most of the "killer apps" are based on hand held displays (>6" diagonal).
The generic applications available today are applications that are intended
to be run on a laptop with an SVGA screen.  Current affordable HMD
technology does not run these types of applications well.

Custom applications, on the other hand, have the potential to be customized
for the display.  Larger font sizes, thicker lines, etc... are user
definable.  These custom applications are limited in number but are growing.

This is a circular market validation issue (i.e."chicken or the egg").
Without a >SVGA HMD killer apps won't be developed, yet without killer apps,
no one will develop an affordable >SVGA HMD for a general market as the
market is limited.

3. Competing Markets

While wearable computing is an exciting market, other, less "sexy",
industries compete for the development dollar.  Industries such as
industrial video, surveillance, defense, and medical imaging require HMDs
and are more than satisfied with today's micro display technology -
monochrome QVGA.  The M1, for example, was created for a medical imaging
company.  They drove the design, features, and performance due to their
commitment for quantity.  Other OEM's incorporate the technology into their
product lines because it meets their target price:performance ratio.

4. Risk

Manufacturers supporting the overall commercial HMD market have been
historically small companies. (i.e. revenues <$6M)  Building a product for a
market is very risky - varying requirements, price sensitivity, competition,
etc...  Building a product for a customer is not - set requirements, known
target price, no competition.  Small companies seek to reduce risk,
therefore, tend to look for specific customers and spin off the technology,
created for the individual, to the market.

The wearable computing market is emerging and unpredictable. This makes it
exciting yet risky.  Every manufacturer is working on their own unique
formula on cracking this market and one day it will happen.  Hold tight, you
will want to be here when it happens!

- Tony

--
Subcription/unsubscription/info requests: send e-mail with subject of
"subscribe", "unsubscribe", or "info" to 
Wear-Hard Mailing List Archive (searchable): http://wearables.blu.org

+Previous Message in Thread | Next Message in Thread

From Wear-Hard Mailing list Archive (WH)
Maintained by R. Paul McCarty

Archive created with babymail